Okay, so this is another instance of plenty of high-status people with a lot to lose declining to say they believe something that would get them fired and/or ostracized. Do you believe it has any bearing on whether or not it is true?
I think it has some bearing, partly because I’m pretty sure you’re wrong about whether they would be fired or ostracized. For example, I think your theory is confused by how many people said that lab leak was more likely than zoonosis.
Okay, so this is another instance of plenty of high-status people with a lot to lose declining to say they believe something that would get them fired and/or ostracized. Do you believe it has any bearing on whether or not it is true?
It was an anonymous poll so this would not have an effect
People used to self-censoring still often self-censor when they don’t have to. Anonymity should have changed the balance, though.
I think it has some bearing, partly because I’m pretty sure you’re wrong about whether they would be fired or ostracized. For example, I think your theory is confused by how many people said that lab leak was more likely than zoonosis.