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Zian
Karma: 454
Your description of ambiguous tasks reminds me of wicked problems. I’m familiar with their appearance in the software development process. There, the consensus has settled on some form of iterative development.
The existing literature (e.g. UpToDate) about psychosis in the general population could be a good source of priors. Or, is it safe to assume that Anna and you are already thoroughly familiar with the literature?
The various extraordinary renditions during the “War on Terror” seem to be an existence proof that the USA is able to act as it pleases in other countries, especially when it is focused on a small number of persons.
I agree that the country is not 100% successful but that does not prevent the nation from trying to act.
Of course you should cut corners when you need to get somewhere fast. Ambulances go through red lights!
That is a deeply unfortunate line to see.
Humanity has known for decades that “[most medical calls] don’t dramatically worsen in the course of a very few minutes, and they don’t spread from person to person” (Journal of Emergency Medical Services, 2017).
In the case of red lights and sirens, maybe they made sense before bystander CPR and before we had empirical data. But not now.
The overuse of red lights and sirens doesn’t save lives. It ends them.
I wouldn’t call them “common-sense”. When a modern-day tragedy (death of a child) is required before “hug a tree and survive” becomes a slogan, it seems safe to say that they are counter-intuitive.
If humans did the right thing by default (e.g. “If you are lost, ‘Hug-A-Tree’ and stay put.”), there would be fewer sad stories.
Here’s another tiny Windows Firefox bug report.
Expand any song.
Hit play.
Collapse the song.
The song keeps playing. Would’ve expected the music to stop when the video player wasn’t visible.
As anecdotal support for “constantly tasting everything”, I offer my high school scientific calculator. After one year of 2 hrs per day of chemistry class, its crevices around the display had a permanent collection of precipitate.
I suspect that even without intentionally tasting things, nearly everything in a lab is ingested as an aerosol. It would be unsurprising if months of such exposure led someone to develop a hunch about a molecule.
If you’re looking for an experimental protocol, the ADHD MTA trial’s protocol looks pretty good.
It is described at https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10591283/ and explains in detail how the doctors decided when to try increasing the dosage. It supports evand’s assertion that improvement should be noticeable quickly.
How much ambient light is there? Is it all from sunlight?
Find a company that makes or sells high quality LEDs
Buy their largest lighting fixture.
Install fixture.
Sample companies:
Waveform
Yuji LED
You may also be interested in the Transit Cost database, which compares the cost of constructing things by country.
If you’re feeling down, here’s a recent project that seems to have worked out.
San Diego Mid-Coast Trolley Extension:
Committed to building it: 2010 (“The project was adopted into the …plan in October 2010.” Federal Transportation Authority.) -- Not sure how to account for the prior work.
Normal riders riding it: November 2021 (Wikipedia cites a local media outlet.)
Predicted Cost: $2.1 billion (per the aforementioned Federal Transportation Authority document from 2015).
Actual Cost: “$2.2 billion” (another local media outlet)
I got a little weirded out at the OAuth prompt because it said “johnny” wanted to get my account. I know who Neuronpedia is. I didn’t know who “johnny” was until I did some more reading and figured out that you’re Johnny.
Please consider registering a dedicated account for the organization (“Neuropedia”, perhaps) and doing the OAuth through the organization’s account so that the prompt doesn’t surprise users as much.
In a later comment, the original poster said that the Total Protein seemed fine. Unfortunately, https://www.ajkd.org/article/S0272-6386(99)70278-7/fulltext suggests that the person looking at the labs would have to know that they ought to look closely at the albumin level, specifically. It wouldn’t be the first time that ”Reality has a surprising amount of detail” where overlooking 1 thing is enough to get into trouble.
It would be unsurprising if the albumin level turned out to be low, if the A/G ratio was slightly off despite the normal-looking total protein values, etc.
As SirTruffleberry said, this situation would be a place where having long-term trends could help.
It is also possible that his lab values fell just barely within the normal ranges.
What are you comparing?
FYI, the Waveform article promotes the use of the Kruithof curve but that relationship between lumens and preference could not be replicated by a study from 1990 (https://doi.org/10.1177%2F096032719002200102).
Chapter 5 of a 2005 thesis (“Human lighting demands : healthy lighting in an office environment”) from TU/e has specific recommendations for brightness, contrast, etc. Its DOI is 10.6100/IR594257 (https://doi.org/10.6100/IR594257).
Full citation: Aries, M. B. C. (2005). Human lighting demands : healthy lighting in an office environment. [Phd Thesis 1 (Research TU/e / Graduation TU/e), Built Environment]. Technische Universiteit Eindhoven. https://doi.org/10.6100/IR594257
The content may be public but does copyright law allow these sorts of quotes?
Which venue controls Facebook posts’ copyright? I assume that Lesswrong.com’s liability is also affected by the law that applies to the location of Lightcone’s office.
I do not know the answer but desired to mention them in case they are relevant.
Do you mean that the container with the contaminated fuel was stored outdoors in the container that you linked to?
If yes, then a couple things come to mind:
Did you confirm that the container was watertight?
Is it possible that the relatively small size of water molecules meant that they could sneak past mechanisms designed to hold back large hydrocarbons?
Thanks for the clarification.
I stumbled over the word because there wasn’t a definition of the term earlier. I inferred that $1 trio is 1 trillion US dollars.
Is that what you intended?
Similar sentiments have been shared in the widely-read book The Hot Zone by Richard Preston. The 1994 book guessed that politicians would ignore the topic until it was horribly unavoidable and actively making them drop dead with blood gushing everywhere. I don’t recall the exact quote, unfortunately.
For those who have lost hope in the higher levels of government, consider trying to influence the lower levels of government where you vote is most influential. Many actions don’t require “big government”. VaccinateCA started with a few volunteers, which is well within the number of people that exist in the department of a city or county government. Monitoring the wastewater in your local sewage plant may not require the water department to get permission from anyone outside the sewage plant’s walls. Counting the number of patients with respiratory symptoms can be done with piles of rocks regardless of heap size. And so on.