If you told me I had a 35 percent chance of winning a million dollars tomorrow, I’d try to sell you my chance for 349 thousand dollars.
saliency
Karma: 145
Very interesting, thanks.
I am pro-breast feeding but skeptical of the IQ claim. Can you link the study?
My guess is they compare the avg IQ to the average of a selection of people who breast feed.
I would expect this to be subject to selection bias.
I buy $50 melons all the time. In fact I have a few in my drawer at work, more at home.
My melons are non-perishable though. They come in various varieties, lush.com, sabonnyc.com, mariebelle.com, ect. If the melon skin is not aesthetic pleasing it is replaced with something from papyrusonline.com
The school of thought shminux represents, though not popular in the main stream, is one I ascribe to. Bryan Caplan and a few others have books on the subject.
Shminux, this though is exactly why I see this group to be of value. I don’t want to spend a lot of time doing research. I want to examine three peoples strategies and trust that I can blindly go with the suggestions, or at least have a strong starting point.
Interesting read, thanks for the post.
“compliance costs vs. the risk of paying more taxes” —This is why I use health savings accounts and commuter plans as an example.
“myopic” consumers —There really are no individual consumers there are transactions. Myopic transactions perhaps would be a better description. On aggregate we have lots of myopic transactions. (bounded rationality) To answer you question —I agree with you second part on myopic’s but don’t see how it is a problem for G&L. Sophisticateds are the ones driving the evolution of the system.
First thank you for the thoughtful response. This is more what I was hoping for when I posted… I don’t agree with you signaling story but it is something I would not have considered.
“price discrimination” I don’t think this is at all a story of signaling. I think it is a story of information/time costs.
My stories: If my wife picks up the circular at the store entrence and tells me that if I rip out this page an hand it to the cashier I will save a buck I do so. Most people don’t do their health savings accounts or mail into NYC to have their metro cards mailed to them so they can save a few bucks by deducting the cost. Do you think most people pay more taxes then they need to because they are signaling? Tell me your signaling story.
To the paper being convincing. Be specific. I bet that your story will involve agents who can not defect or some external structure which alters incentives. My story is very close to that of the paper. That people who care “sophisticated” will prefer systems in which they can obtain an advantage.
I’m expanding the strict definition of price discrimination by including taxes ect but believe they are the same. By doing so I think it can be seen that price discrimination is a supply and demand side. In addition I would argue that because I am talking about systems that it is an emergent phenomena. Agents within a system shroud. Does your car mechanic or IT guy tell you the exact truth or do they pad things just a little. Do teammates working on a project ever slack but make it look like they are doing work?
made article more clear by adding /institution.
For the record I did not down vote that question. I think it is sad what is down voted. People wonder why LW is dying out.
In the first world people haggle by cutting coupons out of the newspaper. This is a form of price discrimination. It is also non-transparent pricing. Coupons also add to the asymmetry of information, ect,ect.
I would argue just the opposite, that we are way past our peak of transparent pricing and as time passes you will see a more byzantine maze develop.
As far as retail goes JC Penney recently failed in such a strategy be transparent.
Highlighted by MR
P.S. “You are trying to submit too fast. try again in 3 minutes.” - Is this really needed?
All systems: A cities zoning board. The network of mortgage back securities. A large firm.
In all individual agents have incentive to shroud and prefer subscribing to a shrouded systems so as to extract rents.
Thanks for the comment. I use fragile because I am rifting off, and a bit against, what I expect is Taleb’s idea for his new book antifragility.
I’m baffled as to why this was down voted.
very cool
Google negative income tax and read the article...
Naz I think you are a little off though. the negative income tax is an implementation of a few possible implementations of a basic income system. Friedman liked it because it was better then normal welfair or the progressive tax we have. He wanted a flat tax. He did not particuly want the NIT, he wanted less welfair overhead and a flat tax.
If you do not have an income tax you can not use a negative income tax to implement a basic income.
Falkvinge is coming from the other direction. He is saying we will be forced to have a flat tax (VAT) because of bitcoin and that in order to still have wellfair we will need to implement a basic income, his citizens income.
It is all crazy talk though.
“families patriarch”......”sacrifice for the greater good of the family that she would be coerced into making”
Is it not clear I am talking about group level dynamics?
“I’m also not sure that “short-term” and “long-term” are a good way of classifying things into near and far. For instance, ideals about improving and ennobling yourself in school are “far” and part of what motivates one to go to school, and this is a long-term objective. But the actual task of going to school in the present and actually attending the lectures and doing the exercises is “near”. (And effectively studying is difficult because the near and far modes don’t necessarily pull in the same direction.)”
umm yes that is what this is all predicated on.… and I am saying “coercion may be one of the mechanisms that have enabled humans to engage and execute long term plans.”
Can you give me an example of short term coercion being of benefit at the group level?
“I thought about the cliche of a school kid being forced to give up his lunch money to bullies. I thought about how he’d need to go hungry while the bullies had a good time with his cash, and thought how it is easier to force others to sacrifice then to sacrifice yourself. I thought about the visceral way in which the threat of coercion is always be present in the lives of some people, and how they have to take into account in everything they do. I also thought of the way the bullies get constant sadistic pleasure out of it and a regular infusion of extra money. Coercion is near.”
I like this, it was what I was looking for in a discussion board.
Question, do you think this short-term coercion is a common mechanistic used in our society? I would argue that most of the coercion you see in organized societies is used to force coordination (aka long-term)
(guess I have to wait 6 minutes to submit this..)
Because when in doubt go with convention.
I think there is a lot we don’t understand.
Now if my wife found it bothersome perhaps we would not follow convention, but so far it she likes doing it. From a fathers perspective it is vastly superior due to the ability to leave a bottle out of the refrigerator for 6 hours instead of 1.