In the spirit of Epistemic Effort could you tell us how long it took you to form these ideas and to write this post?
Bitnotri
Is Willpower a Finite Resource, or a Myth?
It seems to me that in our civilisation we have a quite nice way of dealing with deficiency of faith’s crises—assuming the narrative of epistemological societal progress the people with poor epistemic hygiene, along with a smaller mix of those with a better one die off and a new generation is generally more able to look at the issues with a fresh set of eyes.
Not sure however how true it is that accurate memes tend to live and propagate—there are quite a few cases that are still disputed despite being settled for hundreds of years, although I may be looking at not big enough time frame here.
I have taken the survey.
“It is wise to take admissions of uncertainty seriously,” Daniel Kahneman noted, “but declarations of high confidence mainly tell you that an individual has constructed a coherent story in his mind, not necessarily that the story is true.”
Superforcasting, p. 85
Taken