Bird Concept

Karma: 6,971

Missing dog reasoning

eukaryote and Bird Concept

Jun 26, 2020, 9:30 PM

27 points

3 comments5 min readLW link

Sunday June 28 – talks by johnswentworth, Daniel kokotajlo, Charlie Steiner, TurnTrout

Bird Concept and Ben Pace

Jun 26, 2020, 7:13 PM

28 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

DontDoxScottAlexander.com—A Petition

Ben Pace, Bird Concept and Rob Bensinger

Jun 25, 2020, 5:44 AM

120 points

32 comments1 min readLW link

(DontDoxScottAlexander.com)

Sunday June 21st – talks by Abram Demski, alkjash, orthonormal, eukaryote, Vaniver

Ben Pace and Bird Concept

Jun 18, 2020, 8:10 PM

49 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

FHI paper on COVID-19 government countermeasures

Bird ConceptJun 4, 2020, 9:06 PM

47 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

(doi.org)

[Job ad] Lead an ambitious COVID-19 forecasting project [Deadline extended: June 10th]

Bird ConceptMay 27, 2020, 4:38 PM

54 points

1 comment6 min readLW link

Crisis and opportunity during coronavirus

Bird ConceptMar 12, 2020, 8:20 PM

78 points

6 comments5 min readLW link 1 review

[Link] Beyond the hill: thoughts on ontologies for thinking, essay-completeness and forecasting

Bird ConceptFeb 2, 2020, 12:39 PM

33 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

[Part 1] Amplifying generalist research via forecasting – Models of impact and challenges

Bird Concept, ozziegooen, Elizabeth, NunoSempere and Ben Goldhaber

Dec 19, 2019, 3:50 PM

55 points

29 comments17 min readLW link

[Part 2] Amplifying generalist research via forecasting – results from a preliminary exploration

Bird Concept, ozziegooen, Elizabeth, NunoSempere and Ben Goldhaber

Dec 19, 2019, 3:49 PM

62 points

10 comments14 min readLW link 1 review

Running Effective Structured Forecasting Sessions

Ben Goldhaber and Bird Concept

Sep 6, 2019, 9:30 PM

21 points

0 comments3 min readLW link

How to write good AI forecasting questions + Question Database (Forecasting infrastructure, part 3)

Bird Concept and Ben Goldhaber

Sep 3, 2019, 2:50 PM

29 points

0 comments4 min readLW link

AI Forecasting Resolution Council (Forecasting infrastructure, part 2)

Bird Concept and Ben Goldhaber

Aug 29, 2019, 5:35 PM

35 points

2 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Could we solve this email mess if we all moved to paid emails?

Bird ConceptAug 11, 2019, 4:31 PM

29 points

50 comments4 min readLW link

AI Forecasting Dictionary (Forecasting infrastructure, part 1)

Bird Concept and Ben Goldhaber

Aug 8, 2019, 4:10 PM

50 points

0 comments5 min readLW link

Conversation on forecasting with Vaniver and Ozzie Gooen

Bird Concept, Vaniver and ozziegooen

Jul 30, 2019, 11:16 AM

41 points

18 comments32 min readLW link

[Question] Does improved introspection cause rationalisation to become less noticeable?

Bird ConceptJul 30, 2019, 10:03 AM

37 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

Prediction as coordination

Bird ConceptJul 23, 2019, 6:19 AM

42 points

4 comments4 min readLW link

shortform

Bird ConceptJul 23, 2019, 2:56 AM

16 points

80 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] When does adding more people reliably make a system better?

Bird ConceptJul 19, 2019, 4:21 AM

30 points

21 comments1 min readLW link