Ape in the coat

Karma: 1,563

Mathematics and Empiricism

Ape in the coat24 Apr 2026 16:02 UTC

25 points

24 comments8 min readLW link

(apeinthecoat102771.substack.com)

Against Possible Worlds

Ape in the coat8 Apr 2026 6:35 UTC

7 points

10 comments5 min readLW link

(apeinthecoat102771.substack.com)

No, You Don’t Need Self-Locating Evidence.

Ape in the coat20 Mar 2026 5:38 UTC

8 points

4 comments5 min readLW link

(substack.com)

The Problem of Counterevidence and the Futility of Theodicy

Ape in the coat20 Feb 2026 7:36 UTC

2 points

6 comments4 min readLW link

(substack.com)

Observations and Complexity

Ape in the coat9 Feb 2026 6:13 UTC

9 points

2 comments3 min readLW link

(apeinthecoat102771.substack.com)

Give Skepticism a Try

Ape in the coat3 Jan 2026 8:57 UTC

12 points

17 comments3 min readLW link

(apeinthecoat102771.substack.com)

No God Can Help You

Ape in the coat20 Dec 2025 8:32 UTC

37 points

0 comments3 min readLW link

(apeinthecoat102771.substack.com)

The Joke

Ape in the coat29 Nov 2025 10:51 UTC

43 points

28 comments4 min readLW link

(apeinthecoat102771.substack.com)

PTF 102: Conditionalization and Events

Ape in the coat25 Jul 2025 6:07 UTC

8 points

0 comments8 min readLW link

Prediction Markets Are Mediocre

Ape in the coat5 Apr 2025 6:54 UTC

3 points

13 comments3 min readLW link

Probability Theory Fundamentals 102: Territory that Probability is in the Map of

Ape in the coat26 Mar 2025 6:40 UTC

10 points

17 comments9 min readLW link

Probability Theory Fundamentals 102: Source of the Sample Space

Ape in the coat23 Mar 2025 17:23 UTC

12 points

17 comments7 min readLW link

Zombies! Substance Dualist Zombies?

Ape in the coat11 Dec 2024 6:10 UTC

15 points

14 comments6 min readLW link

[Question] What’s the Deal with Logical Uncertainty?

Ape in the coat16 Sep 2024 8:11 UTC

42 points

37 comments2 min readLW link

Doomsday Argument and the False Dilemma of Anthropic Reasoning

Ape in the coat5 Jul 2024 5:38 UTC

51 points

66 comments7 min readLW link

Semantic Disagreement of Sleeping Beauty Problem

Ape in the coat8 May 2024 19:09 UTC

19 points

10 comments8 min readLW link

[Question] Should you refuse this bet in Technicolor Sleeping Beauty?

Ape in the coat4 Apr 2024 8:55 UTC

16 points

15 comments1 min readLW link

Beauty and the Bets

Ape in the coat27 Mar 2024 6:17 UTC

19 points

31 comments12 min readLW link

The Solution to Sleeping Beauty

Ape in the coat4 Mar 2024 6:46 UTC

18 points

79 comments13 min readLW link

Lessons from Failed Attempts to Model Sleeping Beauty Problem

Ape in the coat20 Feb 2024 6:43 UTC

13 points

18 comments14 min readLW link