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Filtered Evidence

TagLast edit: 19 Mar 2023 19:57 UTC by Diabloto96

Filtered evidence is evidence that was selected for the fact that it supports (or opposes) a hypothesis. Filtered evidence may be highly misleading, but still it can be useful, if considered with care.

Sequences:

See also:

What Ev­i­dence Filtered Ev­i­dence?

Eliezer Yudkowsky29 Sep 2007 23:10 UTC
105 points
43 comments4 min readLW link

Heads I Win, Tails?—Never Heard of Her; Or, Selec­tive Re­port­ing and the Tragedy of the Green Rationalists

Zack_M_Davis24 Sep 2019 4:12 UTC
296 points
40 comments8 min readLW link2 reviews

Think­ing About Filtered Ev­i­dence Is (Very!) Hard

abramdemski19 Mar 2020 23:20 UTC
90 points
32 comments14 min readLW link

Yes Re­quires the Pos­si­bil­ity of No

Scott Garrabrant17 May 2019 22:39 UTC
241 points
55 comments2 min readLW link2 reviews

A Ra­tional Argument

Eliezer Yudkowsky2 Oct 2007 18:35 UTC
88 points
41 comments2 min readLW link

How to Bounded Distrust

Zvi9 Jan 2023 13:10 UTC
119 points
15 comments4 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Clever ar­guers give weak ev­i­dence, not zero

dkl918 Jul 2023 17:07 UTC
7 points
2 comments1 min readLW link
(dkl9.net)

Charisma is a Force Multiplier

Davis_Kingsley11 Oct 2020 10:21 UTC
39 points
10 comments2 min readLW link

The Bot­tom Line

Eliezer Yudkowsky28 Sep 2007 17:47 UTC
177 points
15 comments4 min readLW link

The Para­dox of Ex­pert Opinion

Emrik26 Sep 2021 21:39 UTC
12 points
9 comments2 min readLW link

Lit­tle­wood’s Law and the Global Media

gwern12 Jan 2019 17:46 UTC
37 points
3 comments1 min readLW link
(www.gwern.net)

Two chil­dren’s stories

Optimization Process12 Nov 2023 20:29 UTC
11 points
1 comment7 min readLW link

The im­pos­si­bil­ity of ra­tio­nally an­a­lyz­ing par­ti­san news

RationalDino16 Nov 2023 16:19 UTC
4 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

Chart­ing Deaths: Real­ity vs Reported

lifelonglearner30 Mar 2018 0:50 UTC
13 points
1 comment1 min readLW link
(owenshen24.github.io)

In­form­ers and Persuaders

Eliezer Yudkowsky10 Feb 2009 20:22 UTC
32 points
21 comments5 min readLW link

Monty Hall in the Wild

Jacob Falkovich6 Jun 2018 18:03 UTC
24 points
9 comments6 min readLW link
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