Black Marble

TagLast edit: 11 Apr 2023 15:59 UTC by gilch

A technology that by default destroys the civilization that invents it. It’s one type of Existential Risk. AGI may be such an invention.

The name comes from a thought experiment by Nick Bostrom, where he described inventions as pulling marbles out of an urn. Most are white (beneficial), some are dangerous or a mixed blessing (usually described as gray or red balls), and some are black (fatal).

Also sometimes phrased as “black ball” when describing the experiment, including by Bostrom himself, but that already means something else when used by itself.

Ab­sent co­or­di­na­tion, fu­ture tech­nol­ogy will cause hu­man extinction

Jeffrey Ladish3 Feb 2020 21:52 UTC
21 points
12 comments5 min readLW link

The Vuln­er­a­ble World Hy­poth­e­sis (by Bostrom)

Ben Pace6 Nov 2018 20:05 UTC
50 points
17 comments4 min readLW link

En­light­en­ment Values in a Vuln­er­a­ble World

Maxwell Tabarrok20 Jul 2022 19:52 UTC
15 points
6 comments31 min readLW link

The Trans­par­ent So­ciety: A rad­i­cal trans­for­ma­tion that we should prob­a­bly undergo

mako yass3 Sep 2019 2:27 UTC
14 points
25 comments8 min readLW link

misc raw re­sponses to a tract of Crit­i­cal Rationalism

mako yass14 Aug 2020 11:53 UTC
21 points
52 comments3 min readLW link

The Dumbest Pos­si­ble Gets There First

Artaxerxes13 Aug 2022 10:20 UTC
43 points
7 comments2 min readLW link

Nu­clear Strat­egy in a Semi-Vuln­er­a­ble World

Jackson Wagner27 Jun 2021 8:17 UTC
7 points
1 comment17 min readLW link

My thoughts on nan­otech­nol­ogy strat­egy re­search as an EA cause area

Ben_Snodin2 May 2022 17:57 UTC
32 points
0 comments42 min readLW link

A Pin and a Bal­loon: An­thropic Frag­ility In­creases Chances of Ru­n­away Global Warm­ing

avturchin11 Sep 2022 10:25 UTC
33 points
23 comments52 min readLW link

Take 6: CAIS is ac­tu­ally Or­wellian.

Charlie Steiner7 Dec 2022 13:50 UTC
14 points
8 comments2 min readLW link

Jeff Shain­line thinks that there is too much serendipity in the physics of op­ti­cal/​su­per­con­duct­ing com­put­ing, sug­gest­ing that they were part of the crite­ria of Cos­molog­i­cal Nat­u­ral Selec­tion, which could have some fairly love­craf­tian implications

mako yass1 Apr 2022 7:09 UTC
16 points
2 comments26 min readLW link
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