The tech tree picture is in large part a reaction to single-factor “capabilities/alignment ratio” pictures (as in FAI Research Constraints), or even two-factor pictures (as in State Space), because while they summarize the results of decision-making about research priorities, they didn’t help me summarize my reasoning process.
The tech tree picture is in large part a reaction to single-factor “capabilities/alignment ratio” pictures (as in FAI Research Constraints), or even two-factor pictures (as in State Space), because while they summarize the results of decision-making about research priorities, they didn’t help me summarize my reasoning process.
Gotcha. What determines the “ratios” is some sort of underlying causal structure of which some aspects can be summarized by a tech tree. For thinking about the causal structure you may also like this post: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/TfRexamDYBqSwg7er/causal-diagrams-of-the-paths-to-existential-catastrophe