View and bet in Manifold prediction markets on Lesswrong

(Crossposted from EA Forum)

Links to prediction markets on Manifold Markets now show a preview of the market on hover.

You can also embed markets directly in posts:

This lets you bet on yes/​no questions without leaving Lesswrong! You do need to be logged into Manifold, otherwise when you try to bet it will first bring you to a screen to log in via your google account.

How to embed a market

Just go the market (or create one), copy the link, and paste it in the editor. It will automatically turn into an embed like the one above.

You can get the link from:

  • The address bar

  • The copy link button below a market you created

  • Or the three dot menu above the chart

Much thanks to Ben West for reviewing the code for this, which was heavily based on the previous integrations for Our World in Data, Metaculus, and Elicit.