The band of malicious messages generated by advanced aliens that will both kill us and be detected by a panel of human experts seems extremely narrow. We’re talking about the FDA being able to outsmart an AI running on a Matrioshka brain levels of narrow.
We then have to weigh the potential gains we get from utilizing the message without having to wait for the speed of bureaucracy. How many lives can we save by earlier implementation of alien technology? Plus, confirmation of alien civilizations make existential risk just regular risk. If we can see them, the fate of our light cone depends on their magnamity anyways.
My calculations put the odds of a committee being able to achieve any good so low that we’re better off just not having one.
We’re talking about the FDA being able to outsmart an AI running on a Matrioshka brain levels of narrow.
To be fair, it’s a really hard problem to send messages to arbitrary unknown civlizations that turn their planets into computronium even when they’re skeptical. Maybe we’ll get lucky and the best possible message is just a spec for some technology we can’t verify.
The band of malicious messages generated by advanced aliens that will both kill us and be detected by a panel of human experts seems extremely narrow. We’re talking about the FDA being able to outsmart an AI running on a Matrioshka brain levels of narrow.
We then have to weigh the potential gains we get from utilizing the message without having to wait for the speed of bureaucracy. How many lives can we save by earlier implementation of alien technology? Plus, confirmation of alien civilizations make existential risk just regular risk. If we can see them, the fate of our light cone depends on their magnamity anyways.
My calculations put the odds of a committee being able to achieve any good so low that we’re better off just not having one.
To be fair, it’s a really hard problem to send messages to arbitrary unknown civlizations that turn their planets into computronium even when they’re skeptical. Maybe we’ll get lucky and the best possible message is just a spec for some technology we can’t verify.