I am feeling like the dialogue has diverted from its original question, so if I may as a question.
What I am hearing is bhauth formed his opinion on extrapolating from current project, reading papers and talk to expert in the field. And while I certainly can not demand him to declare his source and present his whole chain of thought from start to finish, it certainly make it hard to verify those claims even if there is a will to verify them.
E.g. bhauth stated heat exchanger is expensive, yet I have no grounding for what that mean, is $1000/unit expensive? is $1 000 000 000/unit expensive? a quick google search find people talking about the cost of heat exchanger but not what it mean.
bhauth stated the cost of lab grown meat is too high as contamination is a huge problem and the required inputs are much too expensive, but I’ve talk to a guys who said he worked for a commercial lab gown meat and he was not particularly concerned about those things compare to others concerns.
I mean the guy could be uninformed or incentivised to misinform me. But again I have no way to verify who is more trust worthy.
Maybe it would be easier for people like me if bhauth put up like a 100 prediction market that would resolve in the next 1-3 years and then when the market resolved we would be able to form our belief regarding his expertise.
[This part is only relevant to me, as I came from a culture with heavy social punishment on people that is arrogance, and bhauth writing sometime comes off as such [e.g. all those start up are chasing dead end path], I may have sub consciously applying negative modifier on his writing.]
Heat exchanger costs are typically in $ per kW/degree.
Maybe you got a different impression, but I don’t care that much about correcting people who are wrong on the internet. I care much more about understanding things myself and designing useful new technology.
In terms of incentives, prediction markets are a losing proposition on average, plus they take time and effort, plus they tie up money and increase risk unless you’re hedging something else. If they would get me jobs then I’d care more, but the people with real power don’t particularly care about past performance on them, and if I’m going to bet money on things I’d rather do it with stocks, which is more normal for a reason.
I am feeling like the dialogue has diverted from its original question, so if I may as a question.
What I am hearing is bhauth formed his opinion on extrapolating from current project, reading papers and talk to expert in the field. And while I certainly can not demand him to declare his source and present his whole chain of thought from start to finish, it certainly make it hard to verify those claims even if there is a will to verify them.
E.g. bhauth stated heat exchanger is expensive, yet I have no grounding for what that mean, is $1000/unit expensive? is $1 000 000 000/unit expensive? a quick google search find people talking about the cost of heat exchanger but not what it mean.
bhauth stated the cost of lab grown meat is too high as contamination is a huge problem and the required inputs are much too expensive, but I’ve talk to a guys who said he worked for a commercial lab gown meat and he was not particularly concerned about those things compare to others concerns.
I mean the guy could be uninformed or incentivised to misinform me. But again I have no way to verify who is more trust worthy.
Maybe it would be easier for people like me if bhauth put up like a 100 prediction market that would resolve in the next 1-3 years and then when the market resolved we would be able to form our belief regarding his expertise.
[This part is only relevant to me, as I came from a culture with heavy social punishment on people that is arrogance, and bhauth writing sometime comes off as such [e.g. all those start up are chasing dead end path], I may have sub consciously applying negative modifier on his writing.]
Heat exchanger costs are typically in $ per kW/degree.
Maybe you got a different impression, but I don’t care that much about correcting people who are wrong on the internet. I care much more about understanding things myself and designing useful new technology.
In terms of incentives, prediction markets are a losing proposition on average, plus they take time and effort, plus they tie up money and increase risk unless you’re hedging something else. If they would get me jobs then I’d care more, but the people with real power don’t particularly care about past performance on them, and if I’m going to bet money on things I’d rather do it with stocks, which is more normal for a reason.