Impact is the wrong measure. I didn’t notice this when first reading the post, but reading your comment makes me realize I don’t think impact is the thing we want more of. type Impact[dx, where(dx > 0)] where x is a thing we want more of, perhaps! And that’s I think critical to why I believe a claim that looks vaguely similar to the one in OP. also known as sign uncertainty.
Does this cartoon basically define impact as “affecting something”? Because then I’d say that’s not what I’m referring to with impact in the context of AI Safety. I mean something like “reduce probability of existentially bad outcomes”
I mean something like “reduce probability of existentially bad outcomes”
I tend to take a grantmaker’s cost-effectiveness-oriented perspective; Eric Neyman’s CEA of donating to Alex Bores and Zach Stein-Perlman’s BOTEC style are my own go-to references for the sort of concreteness I wish other people publicly did more of. I’d be interested in future posts in your series expanding on the quoted part, and how they compare/contrast with Eric & Zach’s.
To clarify for the cloudy reacts: I was trying to spit out lean syntax and misremembered it. But I meant to be stating the type of interventions we like: ones where there is an Impact of dx, and dx is positive. probably shoulda just used english.
Impact is the wrong measure. I didn’t notice this when first reading the post, but reading your comment makes me realize I don’t think impact is the thing we want more of. type
Impact[dx, where(dx > 0)]where x is a thing we want more of, perhaps! And that’s I think critical to why I believe a claim that looks vaguely similar to the one in OP. also known as sign uncertainty.What do you think of Alex Turner’s reframing of impact? Basically this:
Does this cartoon basically define impact as “affecting something”? Because then I’d say that’s not what I’m referring to with impact in the context of AI Safety. I mean something like “reduce probability of existentially bad outcomes”
I tend to take a grantmaker’s cost-effectiveness-oriented perspective; Eric Neyman’s CEA of donating to Alex Bores and Zach Stein-Perlman’s BOTEC style are my own go-to references for the sort of concreteness I wish other people publicly did more of. I’d be interested in future posts in your series expanding on the quoted part, and how they compare/contrast with Eric & Zach’s.
To clarify for the cloudy reacts: I was trying to spit out lean syntax and misremembered it. But I meant to be stating the type of interventions we like: ones where there is an Impact of dx, and dx is positive. probably shoulda just used english.