My guess is that the people inveting the term “murphyjitsu” did not know of the term “premortem”. If anyone want to check this, look in the CFAR handbook and see if there are any citations in that section. CFAR was decent at citing when they took ideas from other places.
Independent invesion is another way to get synonyms. I concidered including this in the original comment, but didn’t seem central enough for my main point.
But diffrent academic fields having diffrent jargon for the same thing because of independent invention of ideas, is a common thing.
Related rant: Another indpendent invetion (invented many times) is the multi agent mind method for therapy (and similar). It seems like various people have converged on calling all of it Interla Famaly System, which I dislike, because IFS is much more specific than that.
CFAR handbook, p. 43 (“further resources” section of the “inner simulator” chapter, which the “murphyjitsu” unit is a part of):
Mitchell, Russo, and Pennington (1989) developed the technique which they called “prospective hindsight.” They found that people who imagined themselves in a future world where an outcome had already occurred were able to think of more plausible paths by which it could occur, compared with people who merely considered the outcome as something that might occur. Decision making researcher Gary Klein has used this technique when consulting with organizations to run “premortems” on projects under consideration: assume that the project has already happened and failed; why did it fail? Klein’s (2007) two-page article provides a useful summary of this technique, and his (2004) book The Power of Intuition includes several case studies.
Mitchell, D., Russo, J., & Pennington, N. (1989). Back to the future: Temporal perspective in the explanation of events. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 2, 25-38. http://goo.gl/GYW6hg
“Murphyjitsu” is equivalent to “premortem” rather than “postmortem”; and the word “premortem” is much less common. I worked in a field where everyone does postmortems all the time (Site Reliability Engineering); only a few people even talked about premortems and even fewer did them.
The first I heard of the multi-agent model of the mind was Minsky’s The Society of Mind (1986) which was based on work going back to the ’70s. My impression is that IFS was being developed around the same time but I don’t know the timeline there.
Yeah, I agree premotrem is not super commonly used. Not sure where I learned it, maybe an org design course. I mainly gave that as an example of over-eagerness to name existing things—perhaps there aren’t that many examples which are as clear cut, maybe in many of them the new term is actually subtly different from the existing term.
But I would guess that a quick Google search could have found the “premortem” term, and reduced one piece of jargon.
Now days you can descripe the concept you want and have a LLM tell you the common term, but this tech is super new. Most of our jargon in from a time when you could only Google things you already know the name for.
My guess is that the people inveting the term “murphyjitsu” did not know of the term “premortem”. If anyone want to check this, look in the CFAR handbook and see if there are any citations in that section. CFAR was decent at citing when they took ideas from other places.
Independent invesion is another way to get synonyms. I concidered including this in the original comment, but didn’t seem central enough for my main point.
But diffrent academic fields having diffrent jargon for the same thing because of independent invention of ideas, is a common thing.
Related rant: Another indpendent invetion (invented many times) is the multi agent mind method for therapy (and similar). It seems like various people have converged on calling all of it Interla Famaly System, which I dislike, because IFS is much more specific than that.
I think when you wrote postmortem you meant to write premortem?
Yes, thanks. I’ve fixdd it now.
(reacted to my own post to test something about reactions, and now I don’t knwo how to remove it)
CFAR handbook, p. 43 (“further resources” section of the “inner simulator” chapter, which the “murphyjitsu” unit is a part of):
Hm, this does not rule out independent discovery, but is evidence against it.
I notice that I’m confused why they would re-name it if it isn’t independent discovery.
“Murphyjitsu” is equivalent to “premortem” rather than “postmortem”; and the word “premortem” is much less common. I worked in a field where everyone does postmortems all the time (Site Reliability Engineering); only a few people even talked about premortems and even fewer did them.
The first I heard of the multi-agent model of the mind was Minsky’s The Society of Mind (1986) which was based on work going back to the ’70s. My impression is that IFS was being developed around the same time but I don’t know the timeline there.
Yeah, I agree premotrem is not super commonly used. Not sure where I learned it, maybe an org design course. I mainly gave that as an example of over-eagerness to name existing things—perhaps there aren’t that many examples which are as clear cut, maybe in many of them the new term is actually subtly different from the existing term.
But I would guess that a quick Google search could have found the “premortem” term, and reduced one piece of jargon.
Now days you can descripe the concept you want and have a LLM tell you the common term, but this tech is super new. Most of our jargon in from a time when you could only Google things you already know the name for.