The accuracy of this market is dwarfed by the interest rate involved.
I am not sure what you mean, do you currently think the probability is outside the 1%-10% range? Imperfect accuracy is fine, especially when it’s easy to adjust for.
The accuracy of this market is dwarfed by the interest rate involved.
I am not sure what you mean, do you currently think the probability is outside the 1%-10% range? Imperfect accuracy is fine, especially when it’s easy to adjust for.