You also have to define what “doom” is. For example, Elon Musk considers permanent disempowerment (irreversible loss of control without extinction) a good outcome, an age of abundance, clearly not “doom” in the way he sees it.
Yeah unfortunately the spinner definition is more difficult with more than two outcomes! Basically you need to ask a different question for each outcome (and there are edge cases if you’re indifferent between any of the outcomes).
You also have to define what “doom” is. For example, Elon Musk considers permanent disempowerment (irreversible loss of control without extinction) a good outcome, an age of abundance, clearly not “doom” in the way he sees it.
Yeah unfortunately the spinner definition is more difficult with more than two outcomes! Basically you need to ask a different question for each outcome (and there are edge cases if you’re indifferent between any of the outcomes).
To be honest, what Nesov brought up was basically why I consider your post less helpful than I hoped for from the intro.