I’ll add to this: I think generally someone people kind and moral in one circumstance is Bayesian evidence of them being so in other circumstances, AND there are specific patterns of being sometimes kind and sometimes nasty that most people are under-aware of.
You have a good friend. They are always happy and cheerful. Once they hurt you by accident, but they sent you a cake the next day, and you forgave them before you could ask for an apology. They’ve had a couple people be mean to them in the past, and you feel sorry for them, but there’s been nothing but cheer between you.
The previous paragraph includes three traits of Narcissistic Personality Disorder (constant happy exterior, niceties instead of apologies, believing a story in which they’ve always been the victim), and thus the previous paragraph is in fact Bayesian evidence that they may be horrible to other people.
I’ll add to this: I think generally someone people kind and moral in one circumstance is Bayesian evidence of them being so in other circumstances, AND there are specific patterns of being sometimes kind and sometimes nasty that most people are under-aware of.
You have a good friend. They are always happy and cheerful. Once they hurt you by accident, but they sent you a cake the next day, and you forgave them before you could ask for an apology. They’ve had a couple people be mean to them in the past, and you feel sorry for them, but there’s been nothing but cheer between you.
The previous paragraph includes three traits of Narcissistic Personality Disorder (constant happy exterior, niceties instead of apologies, believing a story in which they’ve always been the victim), and thus the previous paragraph is in fact Bayesian evidence that they may be horrible to other people.