It’s not obvious that any system is chaotic at a physical level, to all theoretically possible measurement and prediction capabilities. It’s possible there’s quantum uncertainty and deterministic causality only, and “chaos” as determined-but-incalculable behavior is a description of the observer’s relationship to a phenomenon, not the phenomenon itself.
The question is whether a given superintelligence is powerful enough to comprehend and predict some important systems which are chaotic to current human capabilities.
chaos is not randomness. a deterministic universe still has sensitive dependence on initial conditions, the key trait of chaos. fluid dynamics is chaotic, so even arbitrarily superintelligent reasoners can’t get far ahead of physics before the sensitive dependence makes your prediction mismatch reality. this is true even if your mechanistic understanding is perfect and the universe isn’t random, so long as the system is in a chaotic regime and you don’t have perfect knowledge of its starting state.
agreed, but only with ongoing intervention. if a system is chaotic, losing connection with it means it will stop doing what you said to.
It’s not obvious that any system is chaotic at a physical level, to all theoretically possible measurement and prediction capabilities. It’s possible there’s quantum uncertainty and deterministic causality only, and “chaos” as determined-but-incalculable behavior is a description of the observer’s relationship to a phenomenon, not the phenomenon itself.
The question is whether a given superintelligence is powerful enough to comprehend and predict some important systems which are chaotic to current human capabilities.
chaos is not randomness. a deterministic universe still has sensitive dependence on initial conditions, the key trait of chaos. fluid dynamics is chaotic, so even arbitrarily superintelligent reasoners can’t get far ahead of physics before the sensitive dependence makes your prediction mismatch reality. this is true even if your mechanistic understanding is perfect and the universe isn’t random, so long as the system is in a chaotic regime and you don’t have perfect knowledge of its starting state.