I buy this as a potentially important goal. Things that have me not automatically agreeing with it:
since one of the concerns is “will there actually be a 2028 election?” it’s not obvious that this is happening fast enough to actually matter. I’m worried about a bunch of important institutions getting eroded in ways that are hard to recover from.
I buy that “democrat wins” is simpler and more likely and I think probably better for a variety of reasons. But, if it were tractable, I’d want to hear arguments about why this is better than steering some sort of republican schism ending with a republican president running on a platform of undoing the damage. (I’m not particularly advocating this and not saying it’s remotely viable, but, one of my wariness here is about this veering into “democrat political machine as usual” as opposed to “thinking from first principles about what is healthy for the state of the country”, which should be able to return “oppose various standard democrat-things” even if you normally like them)
since one of the concerns is “will there actually be a 2028 election?” it’s not obvious that this is happening fast enough to actually matter. I’m worried about a bunch of important institutions getting eroded in ways that are hard to recover from.
To be clear, do you think this mainly because of AI x-risk or Trump cueing the government? What’s probability would you assign to there not being an election?
I buy this as a potentially important goal. Things that have me not automatically agreeing with it:
since one of the concerns is “will there actually be a 2028 election?” it’s not obvious that this is happening fast enough to actually matter. I’m worried about a bunch of important institutions getting eroded in ways that are hard to recover from.
I buy that “democrat wins” is simpler and more likely and I think probably better for a variety of reasons. But, if it were tractable, I’d want to hear arguments about why this is better than steering some sort of republican schism ending with a republican president running on a platform of undoing the damage. (I’m not particularly advocating this and not saying it’s remotely viable, but, one of my wariness here is about this veering into “democrat political machine as usual” as opposed to “thinking from first principles about what is healthy for the state of the country”, which should be able to return “oppose various standard democrat-things” even if you normally like them)
To be clear, do you think this mainly because of AI x-risk or Trump cueing the government? What’s probability would you assign to there not being an election?