except that I suspect you aren’t tracking some important ways your trust chain is likely to make correlated errors along the lines of assuming official statistics are correct.
Interesting.
Quick check: what’s your 90% confidence interval for global population, after Googling the official number, which is around 7.7 billion?
I don’t know, certainly not off by more than a half billion in either direction? I don’t know how hard it is to estimate the number of people on earth. It doesn’t seem like there’s much incentive to mess with the numbers here.
It doesn’t seem like there’s much incentive to mess with the numbers here.
Guessing at potential comfounders—There may be incentives for individual countries (or cities) to inflate their numbers (to seem more important) – or, deflate their numbers, to avoid taxes.
Interesting.
I don’t know, certainly not off by more than a half billion in either direction? I don’t know how hard it is to estimate the number of people on earth. It doesn’t seem like there’s much incentive to mess with the numbers here.
Guessing at potential comfounders—There may be incentives for individual countries (or cities) to inflate their numbers (to seem more important) – or, deflate their numbers, to avoid taxes.