Wow! This is the “AI 2027” of de-dollarization. I’m no finance person, but I have been looking for analysis and this is the clearest future scenario I’ve run across. I will make one comment, based on futurological instinct, and that is that change may go even faster than you describe. One of the punishing things about making scenarios in times of rapid change is that you put in the work to look several years ahead, then changes you had scheduled for years away, end up happening within months or even weeks, and you have to start again. But I’m sure your team can rise to the challenge. :-)
Your final point is definitely one I think about a lot. The activation energy may take longer but the idealogies could definitely have a shorter fuse than I lay out here :) Appreciate you reading.
Is the scenario likely to interfere with the development of AI in the USA? How much time can de-dollarisation give China to solve the AI alignment problem?
Wow! This is the “AI 2027” of de-dollarization. I’m no finance person, but I have been looking for analysis and this is the clearest future scenario I’ve run across. I will make one comment, based on futurological instinct, and that is that change may go even faster than you describe. One of the punishing things about making scenarios in times of rapid change is that you put in the work to look several years ahead, then changes you had scheduled for years away, end up happening within months or even weeks, and you have to start again. But I’m sure your team can rise to the challenge. :-)
Your final point is definitely one I think about a lot. The activation energy may take longer but the idealogies could definitely have a shorter fuse than I lay out here :) Appreciate you reading.
Is the scenario likely to interfere with the development of AI in the USA? How much time can de-dollarisation give China to solve the AI alignment problem?