It’s worth putting a number on that, and a different one (or possibly the same; I personally think my chances of being resurrected and tortured vary by epsilon based on my own actions in life—if the gods will it, it will happen, if they don’t, it won’t) based on the two main actions you’re considering actually performing.
For me, that number is inestimably tiny. I suspect a fairly high neuroticism and irrational failure to limit the sum of their probabilities to 1 of anyone who thinks it’s significant.
I have a very hard time even justifying 1/1000. 1/10B is closer to my best guess (plus or minus 2 orders of magnitude). It requires a series of very unlikely events: 1) enough of my brain-state is recorded that I COULD be resurrected 2) the imagined god finds it worthwhile to simulate me 3) the imagined god is angry at my specific actions (or lack thereof) enough to torture me rather than any other value it could get from the simulation. 4) the imagined god has a decision process that includes anger or some other non-goal-directed motivation for torturing someone who can no longer have any effect on the universe. 5) no other gods have better things to do with the resources, and stop the angry one from wasting time.
Note, even if you relax 1 and 2 so the putative deity punishes RANDOM simulated people (because you’re actually dead and gone) to punish YOU specifically, it still doesn’t make it likely at all.
Ok, break this down a bit for me—I’m just a simple biological entity, with much more limited predictive powers.
It’s worth simulating a vast number of possible minds which might, in some information -adjacent regions of a ‘mathematical universe’ be likely to be in a position to create you
This either well beyond my understanding, or is sleight-of-hand regarding identity and use of “you”. It might help to label entities. Entity A has the ability to emulate and control entity B. It thinks that somehow its control over entity B is influential over entity C in the distant past or imaginary mathematical construct, who it wishes would create entity D in that disconnected timeline.
Nope, I can’t give this any causal weight to my decisions.
thanks for the conversation, I’m bowing out here. I’ll read further comments, but (probably) not respond. I suspect we have a crux somewhere around identification of actors, and mechanisms of bridging causal responsibility for acausal (imagined) events, but I think there’s an inferential gap where you and I have divergent enough priors and models that we won’t be able to agree on them.
It’s worth putting a number on that, and a different one (or possibly the same; I personally think my chances of being resurrected and tortured vary by epsilon based on my own actions in life—if the gods will it, it will happen, if they don’t, it won’t) based on the two main actions you’re considering actually performing.
For me, that number is inestimably tiny. I suspect a fairly high neuroticism and irrational failure to limit the sum of their probabilities to 1 of anyone who thinks it’s significant.
Comment withdrawn,
Comment withdrawn.
I have a very hard time even justifying 1/1000. 1/10B is closer to my best guess (plus or minus 2 orders of magnitude). It requires a series of very unlikely events:
1) enough of my brain-state is recorded that I COULD be resurrected
2) the imagined god finds it worthwhile to simulate me
3) the imagined god is angry at my specific actions (or lack thereof) enough to torture me rather than any other value it could get from the simulation.
4) the imagined god has a decision process that includes anger or some other non-goal-directed motivation for torturing someone who can no longer have any effect on the universe.
5) no other gods have better things to do with the resources, and stop the angry one from wasting time.
Note, even if you relax 1 and 2 so the putative deity punishes RANDOM simulated people (because you’re actually dead and gone) to punish YOU specifically, it still doesn’t make it likely at all.
Comment withdrawn.
Ok, break this down a bit for me—I’m just a simple biological entity, with much more limited predictive powers.
This either well beyond my understanding, or is sleight-of-hand regarding identity and use of “you”. It might help to label entities. Entity A has the ability to emulate and control entity B. It thinks that somehow its control over entity B is influential over entity C in the distant past or imaginary mathematical construct, who it wishes would create entity D in that disconnected timeline.
Nope, I can’t give this any causal weight to my decisions.
Comment withdrawn.
thanks for the conversation, I’m bowing out here. I’ll read further comments, but (probably) not respond. I suspect we have a crux somewhere around identification of actors, and mechanisms of bridging causal responsibility for acausal (imagined) events, but I think there’s an inferential gap where you and I have divergent enough priors and models that we won’t be able to agree on them.