I want to draw your attention to some AI doom markets I created on manifold.
Since traders in many of these markets[1] can’t benefit from their shares resolving YES, these markets effectively serve as mana-weighted polls. This may be what you were aiming for, and I think it is interesting, but I would be careful to interpret the results accordingly.
Since traders in many of these markets[1] can’t benefit from their shares resolving YES, these markets effectively serve as mana-weighted polls. This may be what you were aiming for, and I think it is interesting, but I would be careful to interpret the results accordingly.
e.g. “If AI kills everyone, how will it do it?”