See my reply to ChristianKI above.Or are you saying that the probability is so high that it isn’t a relevant variable in CCP planning; they’ll basically just assume a kinetic US response and then plan around that? If so, then yeah that’s a good counterargument.Metaculus disagrees, fwiw:
See my reply to ChristianKI above.
Or are you saying that the probability is so high that it isn’t a relevant variable in CCP planning; they’ll basically just assume a kinetic US response and then plan around that? If so, then yeah that’s a good counterargument.
Metaculus disagrees, fwiw: