The book spends a long time talking about what the minimum viable policy might look like, and comes to the conclusion that it’s more like:
The US, China and Russia (are Russia even necessary? can we use export controls? Russia has a GDP less than, like, Italy. India is the real third player here IMO) agree that anyone who builds a datacenter they can’t monitor gets hit with a bunker-buster.
This is unlikely. But it’s several OOMs less effort than buidling a world government on everything.
It made me realize a possibility—strategic cooperation on AI, between Russia and India. They have a history of goodwill, and right now India is estranged from America. (Though Anthropic’s Amodei recently met Modi.) The only problem is, neither Russia nor India is a serious chip maker, so like everyone else they are dependent on the American and Chinese supply chains...
It’s not a quote no, but it’s the overall picture they gave (I have removed quotation marks now) They made it pretty clear that a few large nations cooperating just on AGI non-creation is enough.
The book spends a long time talking about what the minimum viable policy might look like, and comes to the conclusion that it’s more like:
The US, China and Russia (are Russia even necessary? can we use export controls? Russia has a GDP less than, like, Italy. India is the real third player here IMO) agree that anyone who builds a datacenter they can’t monitor gets hit with a bunker-buster.
This is unlikely. But it’s several OOMs less effort than buidling a world government on everything.
Is that a quote from IABIED?
It made me realize a possibility—strategic cooperation on AI, between Russia and India. They have a history of goodwill, and right now India is estranged from America. (Though Anthropic’s Amodei recently met Modi.) The only problem is, neither Russia nor India is a serious chip maker, so like everyone else they are dependent on the American and Chinese supply chains...
It’s not a quote no, but it’s the overall picture they gave (I have removed quotation marks now) They made it pretty clear that a few large nations cooperating just on AGI non-creation is enough.
I’d describe this more like “this would make a serious dent in the problem”, enough to be worth the costs. “Enough” is a strong word.