Deep in Berkeley, Bayesian reasoning is used to carefully map out the odds of a plandemic. Probabilities stay safely in the range of 1 and 99, everyone is calibrated, no one is overconfident. Hang on what’s this—Rachel has just claimed to be 99.994% sure that Anthony Fauci didn’t skip through the Wuhan wet market scattering used pipettes like an apocalyptic flower girl. Eyebrows are raised. Is she a bad rationalist?
Miles away, but not many...
Before seeing it you assigned this 800 word blog post about sonichu a probability of 0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000003 %. This is good work. Do more like this.
Deep in Berkeley, Bayesian reasoning is used to carefully map out the odds of a plandemic. Probabilities stay safely in the range of 1 and 99, everyone is calibrated, no one is overconfident. Hang on what’s this—Rachel has just claimed to be 99.994% sure that Anthony Fauci didn’t skip through the Wuhan wet market scattering used pipettes like an apocalyptic flower girl. Eyebrows are raised. Is she a bad rationalist?
Miles away, but not many...
Before seeing it you assigned this 800 word blog post about sonichu a probability of 0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000003 %. This is good work. Do more like this.
related: Strong evidence is common