Nope, I’m right. I think you misunderstood what I was saying, given the quote you pull as evidence for your claim, which is about a different set of predictions than the one I’m talking about.
(In case there was an error of communication on my part, I’ll spell it out: Kurzweil made predictions for 2009 and for 2019. His predictions for 2009 were wrong and his predictions for 2019 were wronger. However, if you take his predictions for 2009 and pretend that they were predictions for 2019, they were mostly right.)
Nope, I’m right. I think you misunderstood what I was saying, given the quote you pull as evidence for your claim, which is about a different set of predictions than the one I’m talking about.
(In case there was an error of communication on my part, I’ll spell it out: Kurzweil made predictions for 2009 and for 2019. His predictions for 2009 were wrong and his predictions for 2019 were wronger. However, if you take his predictions for 2009 and pretend that they were predictions for 2019, they were mostly right.)
(See e.g. this comment on the post you linked https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/NcGBmDEe5qXB7dFBF/assessing-kurzweil-predictions-about-2019-the-results?commentId=H6ATdcezYzti8nsiK#comments)
Got it, thanks for clarifying