If there’s a hedge fund out there that leverages superforcasting style reasoning and makes billions with that I doubt that it would be rational for them to openly speak about their secret sausage. It might also be rational for them to currently reinvest all their money if they are getting a great return for it.
This is broadly the pitch of Bridgewater, with the caveat that what they are doing is largely not losing billions. As far as I can tell there is no direct relationship between Tetlock’s methods and Dalio’s, but they seem to have drawn similar conclusions.
If there’s a hedge fund out there that leverages superforcasting style reasoning and makes billions with that I doubt that it would be rational for them to openly speak about their secret sausage. It might also be rational for them to currently reinvest all their money if they are getting a great return for it.
This is broadly the pitch of Bridgewater, with the caveat that what they are doing is largely not losing billions. As far as I can tell there is no direct relationship between Tetlock’s methods and Dalio’s, but they seem to have drawn similar conclusions.
This is relevant to my interests. Do you have a particular source that describes their “pitch”?