i predict that 10 years from today, i will be able to find a pound of ground beef in some supermarket in Boston for less than 10 USD (adjusted for inflation to dollars today). JC Tidefield predicts otherwise
i guess i didn’t think too carefully about how this bet resolves if in 10 years the concepts of dollars, cows, and supermarkets are no longer coherent. resolves na i guess.
also, I’m surprised anyone is paying attention to my random bet registrations on here. i mostly make bets when people make crazy claims that i think are obviously wrong, rather than proportional to importance. i post them here because it’s the least visible place i can think of that’s still public enough to be a site of record.
i predict that 10 years from today, i will be able to find a pound of ground beef in some supermarket in Boston for less than 10 USD (adjusted for inflation to dollars today). JC Tidefield predicts otherwise
OpenAI researcher confirmed to have “long timelines”. Still expects supermarkets and ground beef to be a thing.
i guess i didn’t think too carefully about how this bet resolves if in 10 years the concepts of dollars, cows, and supermarkets are no longer coherent. resolves na i guess.
also, I’m surprised anyone is paying attention to my random bet registrations on here. i mostly make bets when people make crazy claims that i think are obviously wrong, rather than proportional to importance. i post them here because it’s the least visible place i can think of that’s still public enough to be a site of record.
The watchful eye of the moderators sees all.
I skim through all new content in https://www.lesswrong.com/quicktakes every day, which is conveniently time-sorted on latest comment for this use case.