i guess i didn’t think too carefully about how this bet resolves if in 10 years the concepts of dollars, cows, and supermarkets are no longer coherent. resolves na i guess.
also, I’m surprised anyone is paying attention to my random bet registrations on here. i mostly make bets when people make crazy claims that i think are obviously wrong, rather than proportional to importance. i post them here because it’s the least visible place i can think of that’s still public enough to be a site of record.
OpenAI researcher confirmed to have “long timelines”. Still expects supermarkets and ground beef to be a thing.
i guess i didn’t think too carefully about how this bet resolves if in 10 years the concepts of dollars, cows, and supermarkets are no longer coherent. resolves na i guess.
also, I’m surprised anyone is paying attention to my random bet registrations on here. i mostly make bets when people make crazy claims that i think are obviously wrong, rather than proportional to importance. i post them here because it’s the least visible place i can think of that’s still public enough to be a site of record.
The watchful eye of the moderators sees all.
I skim through all new content in https://www.lesswrong.com/quicktakes every day, which is conveniently time-sorted on latest comment for this use case.