I’d bet two karma points against one that you submitted a number you believe has a less-than-average chance of winning this game. You might have submitted a very large number, or you might have submitted 0, confident in the knowledge that 0 will not actually win.
As for whether you claim your submission was rational, I suppose it depends on which answer amuses you more today.
All of your points, although initially quite plausible, become uncertain upon deeper reflection—except the last, which is the best example of reasoning in this thread so far.
I award you one point, and suggest that you think further upon the problem of the paradox of anticipation.
Because the tone seems arrogant and unconstructively insulting to LW readers, which decreases the quality of the discussion. The comment also lacks interesting content.
I’m reasonably rational, and more-or-less honest, and I have no particular desire to ‘win’ this contest. But it amuses me greatly.
Thus I have submitted a value.
The exercises for the student: Did I submit zero, or not? And was my submission rational?
I’d bet two karma points against one that you submitted a number you believe has a less-than-average chance of winning this game. You might have submitted a very large number, or you might have submitted 0, confident in the knowledge that 0 will not actually win.
As for whether you claim your submission was rational, I suppose it depends on which answer amuses you more today.
All of your points, although initially quite plausible, become uncertain upon deeper reflection—except the last, which is the best example of reasoning in this thread so far.
I award you one point, and suggest that you think further upon the problem of the paradox of anticipation.
I wonder why this was voted down so far.
Because the tone seems arrogant and unconstructively insulting to LW readers, which decreases the quality of the discussion. The comment also lacks interesting content.