What Are The Chances of Actually Achieving FAI?

I get that the shut up and mul­ti­ply calcu­la­tion will make it worth try­ing even if the odds are re­ally low, but my emo­tions don’t re­spond very well to low odds.

I can over­ride that to some de­gree, but, at the end of the day, it’d be eas­ier if the odds were ac­tu­ally pretty de­cent.

Com­ment or PM me, it’s not some­thing I’ve heard much about.