Other examples: A Covid-19 pandemic also seemed intuitively highly implausible in early 2020 despite strong evidence that it could no longer be contained. Similarly with Russia being about to invade Ukraine in late 2021 / early 2022. There should be a term for this: *normal world bias*
Other examples: A Covid-19 pandemic also seemed intuitively highly implausible in early 2020 despite strong evidence that it could no longer be contained. Similarly with Russia being about to invade Ukraine in late 2021 / early 2022. There should be a term for this: *normal world bias*
Wikipedia—Normalcy bias