I have about 50% credence on: Nvidia has successfully lobbied the Trump administration to turn a blind eye toward illegal chip sales, such that the Trump administration wouldn’t stop the exports even at zero cost.
I think that position models the Trump administration as a single entity in a way that’s mistakes how complex political institutions work. Different people inside of the Trump administration have different agendas. It also suggests a level of competence at secret keeping that I don’t think the Trump administration has shown. I think there are some people who are serious China hawks inside the Trump administration.
I have about 50% credence on: Nvidia has successfully lobbied the Trump administration to turn a blind eye toward illegal chip sales, such that the Trump administration wouldn’t stop the exports even at zero cost.
I think that position models the Trump administration as a single entity in a way that’s mistakes how complex political institutions work. Different people inside of the Trump administration have different agendas. It also suggests a level of competence at secret keeping that I don’t think the Trump administration has shown. I think there are some people who are serious China hawks inside the Trump administration.