Quite a few folks “believe” in a rapid AI timeline because it’s their only hope to escape a horrible fate. They may have some disease that’s turning their brain into mush from the inside out, and know there is exactly zero chance the doctors will figure something out within the next century. Only superhuman intelligence could save them. My impression is that technological progress is MUCH slower than most people realize.
Can you name any of these people? I can’t think of anyone who’s saying, “I’m dying, so let’s cure death / create AGI now”. Mostly what people do, is get interested in cryonics.
Really? My impression is that rapid AI timelines make things increasingly “hopeless” because there’s less time to try to prevent getting paperclipped, and that this is the default view of the community.
Quite a few folks “believe” in a rapid AI timeline because it’s their only hope to escape a horrible fate. They may have some disease that’s turning their brain into mush from the inside out, and know there is exactly zero chance the doctors will figure something out within the next century. Only superhuman intelligence could save them. My impression is that technological progress is MUCH slower than most people realize.
Can you name any of these people? I can’t think of anyone who’s saying, “I’m dying, so let’s cure death / create AGI now”. Mostly what people do, is get interested in cryonics.
Really? My impression is that rapid AI timelines make things increasingly “hopeless” because there’s less time to try to prevent getting paperclipped, and that this is the default view of the community.
I tilt towards rapid timeline—but I promise, my brain is not turning into mush. I have no terminal disease
Ageing?