It’s funny that short-timeline-believers tend not to care much about the topic, as it’ll be very minor very soon. And long-timeline-believers think we’ve got at least a little breathing room to sort it out using slow human processes for social and legal norm adjustment.
I put myself somewhere in between. We probably don’t have the 2+ (human) generations it takes to societally absorb a giant change, but it’s not really a crisis yet. We haven’t seen any significant court case outcomes NOR legislation that needs court testing (I really am looking forward to the Getty case, though).
Artists (and other “creatives”) are worried, far more concerned that their future artistic positioning and revenue will be reduced by “unfair” competition, than that their copyright exclusivity for past work will be violated. This seems to me to be the most important aspect: the future of human work-value (especially non-elite work). I think it’s surprising a lot of us that the “creative” work seems to be under more attack than the “rote” work (driving, warehouse, etc.). I don’t know what the new equilibrium will be, and I can’t see any simple solutions.
It’s deeply unfortunate that the US no longer has any ability to actually discuss, compromise, and experiment on policy. Culture wars take over too soon, and this prevents any sensible small-steps or even measurement of such changes.
I’m not sure what short timeline bettors you’re thinking of here, but I personally think that ai art is pretty much the only form the ai safety problem will ever take. Art is a generative model’s paperclip.
It’s funny that short-timeline-believers tend not to care much about the topic, as it’ll be very minor very soon. And long-timeline-believers think we’ve got at least a little breathing room to sort it out using slow human processes for social and legal norm adjustment.
I put myself somewhere in between. We probably don’t have the 2+ (human) generations it takes to societally absorb a giant change, but it’s not really a crisis yet. We haven’t seen any significant court case outcomes NOR legislation that needs court testing (I really am looking forward to the Getty case, though).
Artists (and other “creatives”) are worried, far more concerned that their future artistic positioning and revenue will be reduced by “unfair” competition, than that their copyright exclusivity for past work will be violated. This seems to me to be the most important aspect: the future of human work-value (especially non-elite work). I think it’s surprising a lot of us that the “creative” work seems to be under more attack than the “rote” work (driving, warehouse, etc.). I don’t know what the new equilibrium will be, and I can’t see any simple solutions.
It’s deeply unfortunate that the US no longer has any ability to actually discuss, compromise, and experiment on policy. Culture wars take over too soon, and this prevents any sensible small-steps or even measurement of such changes.
I’m not sure what short timeline bettors you’re thinking of here, but I personally think that ai art is pretty much the only form the ai safety problem will ever take. Art is a generative model’s paperclip.
In the US, the common person has little to no power. I hope the artists manage to get a victory. But I’m not counting on it.