It looks like people can change their predictions after they initially submit them. Is this history recorded somewhere, or just the current distribution?
Is there an option to have people “lock in” their answer? (Maybe they can still edit/delete for a short time after they submit or before a cutoff date/time)
Not planning on supporting this on our end in the near future, but could be a cool feature down the line.
Is there a way to see in one place all the predictions I’ve submitted an answer to?
As of right now, not if you make the predictions via LW. You can view questions that you’ve submitted a prediction on via Elicit at https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.hasPredicted=true if you’re logged in, and we’re working on allowing for account linking so your LW predictions would show up in the same place.
The first version of account linking will be contacting someone at Ought then us manually running a script.
Edit: the first version of account linking is ready, email elifland@ought.org with your LW username and Elicit email and I can link them.
We do store the history. You can view them by going https://elicit.org/binary then searching for the question, e.g. https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20there%20be%20more%20than%2050. Although as noted by Oli, we currently only display predictions that haven’t been withdrawn.
Not planning on supporting this on our end in the near future, but could be a cool feature down the line.
As of right now, not if you make the predictions via LW. You can view questions that you’ve submitted a prediction on via Elicit at https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.hasPredicted=true if you’re logged in, and we’re working on allowing for account linking so your LW predictions would show up in the same place.
The first version of account linking will be contacting someone at Ought then us manually running a script.
Edit: the first version of account linking is ready, email elifland@ought.org with your LW username and Elicit email and I can link them.