the appetite for conditional risk regulation has been substantially less than the appetite for direct risk regulation
Where do you see the latter appetite?
We campaigned a bit for a conditional treaty. We’d happily sign up for un unconditional pause though. Problem is: there is no appetite for either, right?
I agree that the manpower spent on evals should have been spent on other things with a better theory of change. Eval quality imo is not a crux for regulation, awareness and political support are. I think the money that went to evals should have gone to raising awareness and lobbying.
Honestly why is there still no significant funding for awareness raising projects? It’s so easy: just ask for amount of views/copies and conversion rates measured via e.g. Prolific surveys and fund the most effective projects. A fund like this can easily absorb millions. I think this might actually get regulation off the ground.
Since very little frontier regulation has passed, the best we have is watching various people in congress who have been concerned about risk speak, and there I’ve seen many more direct risk regulation proposals than conditional risk regulation proposals.
Also in as much as we had any success, establishing direct liability via something like SB1047 was the closest we got, which didn’t have any dependence on evals.
Where do you see the latter appetite?
We campaigned a bit for a conditional treaty. We’d happily sign up for un unconditional pause though. Problem is: there is no appetite for either, right?
I agree that the manpower spent on evals should have been spent on other things with a better theory of change. Eval quality imo is not a crux for regulation, awareness and political support are. I think the money that went to evals should have gone to raising awareness and lobbying.
Honestly why is there still no significant funding for awareness raising projects? It’s so easy: just ask for amount of views/copies and conversion rates measured via e.g. Prolific surveys and fund the most effective projects. A fund like this can easily absorb millions. I think this might actually get regulation off the ground.
Since very little frontier regulation has passed, the best we have is watching various people in congress who have been concerned about risk speak, and there I’ve seen many more direct risk regulation proposals than conditional risk regulation proposals.
Also in as much as we had any success, establishing direct liability via something like SB1047 was the closest we got, which didn’t have any dependence on evals.