I predict at 95% that similar types of automated manipulation strategies as these were deployed by US, Russia, or Chinese companies or agencies to steer people’s thinking on Ukraine War and/or Covid-related topics
Does stuff like the twitter files count? Because that was already confirmed, it’s at 100%.
AFAIK the twitter files came nowhere near to confirming the level of manipulation technology that I describe here, mostly focusing on covert informal government operatives de-facto facilitating censorship in plausibly deniable ways. The reason I put a number as extreme as 95% is that weird scenarios during 2020-22 still count, so long as they describe intensely powerful use of AI and statistical analytics for targeted manipulation of humans at around the level of power I described here.
The whole point is that I’m arguing that existing systems are already powerful and dangerous, it’s not a far-off future thing or even 4 years away. If it did end up being ONLY the dumb censorship described in the twitter files and the Right, then that would falsify my model.
Does stuff like the twitter files count? Because that was already confirmed, it’s at 100%.
Also commenting on the same section:
Wouldn’t the US government or its agencies do more against Tiktok, if they were sufficiently aware of its possibilities to steer people’s thinking?
I haven’t really looked into the twitter files, or the right-wing narratives of FBI/Biden suppression of right-wing views (I do know that Musk and the Right are separate and the overlap isn’t necessarily his fault, e.g. criticism of the CDC and Ukraine War ended up consigned to the realm of right-wing clowns regardless of the wishes of the critics).
AFAIK the twitter files came nowhere near to confirming the level of manipulation technology that I describe here, mostly focusing on covert informal government operatives de-facto facilitating censorship in plausibly deniable ways. The reason I put a number as extreme as 95% is that weird scenarios during 2020-22 still count, so long as they describe intensely powerful use of AI and statistical analytics for targeted manipulation of humans at around the level of power I described here.
The whole point is that I’m arguing that existing systems are already powerful and dangerous, it’s not a far-off future thing or even 4 years away. If it did end up being ONLY the dumb censorship described in the twitter files and the Right, then that would falsify my model.