[Link] A rational response to the Paris attacks and ISIS

Here’s my op-ed that uses long-term ori­en­ta­tion, prob­a­bil­is­tic think­ing, nu­mer­acy, con­sider the al­ter­na­tive, reach­ing our ac­tual goals, avoid­ing in­tu­itive emo­tional re­ac­tions and at­ten­tion bias, and other ra­tio­nal­ity tech­niques to sug­gest more ra­tio­nal re­sponses to the Paris at­tacks and the ISIS threat. It’s pub­lished in the Sun­day edi­tion of The Plain Dealer​, a ma­jor news­pa­per (16th in the US). This is part of my broader pro­ject, In­ten­tional In­sights, of con­vey­ing ra­tio­nal think­ing, in­clud­ing about poli­tics, to a broad au­di­ence to raise the san­ity wa­ter­line.