(Social movements (and comms and politics) are not easy to reason about well from first principles. I think Michael is wrong to be making this particular self-sacrifice, not because he hasn’t thought carefully about AI but because he hasn’t thought carefully about hunger strikes.)
Relevantly, if any of them actually die, and if also it does not cause major change and outcry, I will probably think they made a foolish choice (where ‘foolish’ means ‘should have known in advance this was the wrong call on a majorly important decision’).
My modal guess is that they will all make real sacrifice, and stick it out for 10-20 days, then wrap up.
Yep, I basically believe this.
(Social movements (and comms and politics) are not easy to reason about well from first principles. I think Michael is wrong to be making this particular self-sacrifice, not because he hasn’t thought carefully about AI but because he hasn’t thought carefully about hunger strikes.)
Relevantly, if any of them actually die, and if also it does not cause major change and outcry, I will probably think they made a foolish choice (where ‘foolish’ means ‘should have known in advance this was the wrong call on a majorly important decision’).
My modal guess is that they will all make real sacrifice, and stick it out for 10-20 days, then wrap up.