An attempt to name a strategy for an AI almost as smart as you: What fraction of jobs in the world are you intelligent enough to do, if you trained for them? I suspect that a huge fraction of the world’s workers could not compete in a free fair market against an entity as smart as you that eats 15 dollars of electricity a day, works without breaks, and only has to be trained once for each task, after which millions of copies could be churned out.
True. But this is getting into the economic competition section. It’s just hard to imagine this being an X-risk. I think that in practice, if its human politicians and bosses rolling the tech out, the tech will be rolled out slowly and inconsistently. There are plenty of people with lots of savings. Plenty of people who could go to their farm and live off the land. Plenty of people who will be employed for a while if the robots are expensive, however cheep the software. Plenty of people doing non-jobs in bureaucracies, who can’t be fired and replaced for political reasons. And all the rolling out, setting up, switching over, running out of money etc takes time. Time where the AI is self improving. So the hard FOOM happens before too much economic disruption. Not that economic disruption is an X-risk anyway.
An attempt to name a strategy for an AI almost as smart as you: What fraction of jobs in the world are you intelligent enough to do, if you trained for them? I suspect that a huge fraction of the world’s workers could not compete in a free fair market against an entity as smart as you that eats 15 dollars of electricity a day, works without breaks, and only has to be trained once for each task, after which millions of copies could be churned out.
True. But this is getting into the economic competition section. It’s just hard to imagine this being an X-risk. I think that in practice, if its human politicians and bosses rolling the tech out, the tech will be rolled out slowly and inconsistently. There are plenty of people with lots of savings. Plenty of people who could go to their farm and live off the land. Plenty of people who will be employed for a while if the robots are expensive, however cheep the software. Plenty of people doing non-jobs in bureaucracies, who can’t be fired and replaced for political reasons. And all the rolling out, setting up, switching over, running out of money etc takes time. Time where the AI is self improving. So the hard FOOM happens before too much economic disruption. Not that economic disruption is an X-risk anyway.