So… how did I do for my 2011 predictions?
The unemployment rate in the United States will continue to be above 8%: 90%
Apparently correct.
“Core inflation” of the U.S. dollar (which ignores food and energy prices) shall remain below 2.0%: 80%
Apparently incorrect. It wasn’t much higher, but it was still higher.
The fifth book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series will be published: 5%
Wrong. To my surprise, the book did indeed come out.
A superintelligent AGI will be created: Less than 1 in 1 million
As expected, no AGI.
The Large Hadron Collider will destroy the world: Less than 1 in 1 million
As expected, the world is still here.
My 96-year-old grandmother survives another year: 67%
Wrong again here; she died in January.
The Riemann hypothesis is proven: 1 in 5000
As expected, no proof.
I qualify for the Magic Pro Tour: 1%
As expected, no qualification.
I get a “real job”: 1%
As expected, no job.
So… how did I do for my 2011 predictions?
Apparently correct.
Apparently incorrect. It wasn’t much higher, but it was still higher.
Wrong. To my surprise, the book did indeed come out.
As expected, no AGI.
As expected, the world is still here.
Wrong again here; she died in January.
As expected, no proof.
As expected, no qualification.
As expected, no job.