Here’s an informal model I saw a while ago, with some similarities to Model 2:
“Subcultures were the main creative cultural force from roughly 1975 to 2000, when they stopped working. Why?
One reason—among several—is that as soon as subcultures start getting really interesting, they get invaded by muggles, who ruin them. Subcultures have a predictable lifecycle, in which popularity causes death. Eventually—around 2000—everyone understood this, and gave up hoping some subculture could somehow escape this dynamic.”
I suspect that subcultures tend to increase when there is widespread dissatisfaction with mainstream society. Exiting mainstream culture to live in your own bubble has a high cost, but much less of a cost if you dislike it.
I am highly suspicious of any explanation that includes the claim “then every understood this, and so they behaved differently”. I don’t think it’s impossible for population-wide updates and observations to occur, but this seems like a complex enough phenomenon that I would highly doubt a majority of the population could, even implicitly, come to agreement on it.
Here’s an informal model I saw a while ago, with some similarities to Model 2:
“Subcultures were the main creative cultural force from roughly 1975 to 2000, when they stopped working. Why?
One reason—among several—is that as soon as subcultures start getting really interesting, they get invaded by muggles, who ruin them. Subcultures have a predictable lifecycle, in which popularity causes death. Eventually—around 2000—everyone understood this, and gave up hoping some subculture could somehow escape this dynamic.”
https://meaningness.com/geeks-mops-sociopaths
I suspect that subcultures tend to increase when there is widespread dissatisfaction with mainstream society. Exiting mainstream culture to live in your own bubble has a high cost, but much less of a cost if you dislike it.
I am highly suspicious of any explanation that includes the claim “then every understood this, and so they behaved differently”. I don’t think it’s impossible for population-wide updates and observations to occur, but this seems like a complex enough phenomenon that I would highly doubt a majority of the population could, even implicitly, come to agreement on it.
I assume it means “people in the author’s filter bubble stopped taking subcultures seriously as a force for good”, which seems pretty plausible.
I agree. Can you point to where the author uses this in his model?
(I have no strong opinion on the model, I mostly pattern-matched when I read the call for more models)