The prediction market after the event was ~ a betting market on “Will the election results be upheld?” rather than “Who will win the election on election night?”. We were comparing those markets to similar markets earlier (“who will win” markets) rather than “Will election results be overturned?”
Thanks!!! Why is the pre-event more relevant?
The prediction market after the event was ~ a betting market on “Will the election results be upheld?” rather than “Who will win the election on election night?”. We were comparing those markets to similar markets earlier (“who will win” markets) rather than “Will election results be overturned?”