The Mythos 5 system card said that Mythos 5 had an AECI of 161.29 compared to 158.91 for Mythos Preview. So Model 2 has an AECI of roughly 162.8 (1.5 more than Mythos 5, ~4 more than Mythos preview). The Opus 3 − 4.6 trend was 13.5 AECI/yr or 1.125 per month.
It’s unclear to me when Model 2 would be released (were Ant to decide to release it). If it came out tomorrow, it would be slightly behind the pre-4.6 trend (which would predict roughly 2.25 points better in the 2 months since it came out).
This is basically just based on eyeballing graphs.
The report said they “do not currently have plans to release this model externally”, so not anytime soon if at all I suppose. It also concluded (like you said) that there doesn’t seem to be any trend acceleration yet.
The Mythos 5 system card said that Mythos 5 had an AECI of 161.29 compared to 158.91 for Mythos Preview. So Model 2 has an AECI of roughly 162.8 (1.5 more than Mythos 5, ~4 more than Mythos preview). The Opus 3 − 4.6 trend was 13.5 AECI/yr or 1.125 per month.
It’s unclear to me when Model 2 would be released (were Ant to decide to release it). If it came out tomorrow, it would be slightly behind the pre-4.6 trend (which would predict roughly 2.25 points better in the 2 months since it came out).
This is basically just based on eyeballing graphs.
The report said they “do not currently have plans to release this model externally”, so not anytime soon if at all I suppose. It also concluded (like you said) that there doesn’t seem to be any trend acceleration yet.