It’s not really a fair question because we all have different things to do with our lives than launch snack lines or restaurant carts, but still: If people have discovered such an amazing delicious novel taste, both new and better than ice cream for 1⁄3 of those who try it, where are the people betting that it would be an amazing commercial success if only somebody produced more of it and advertised it more broadly?
Bears are wild animals. I think it would take way too much effort to get a large enough consistent supply of autumn bear fat even for a food truck, especially given that people probably wouldn’t pay for one cracker’s worth at a time.
Fine then, let’s use beef tallow. We could sell jars of beef tallow mixed with honey and salt as some kind of paleo peanut butter alternative and branch out from there. I think plenty of people would enjoy it, though I think it would be hard to convince the kind of people who love beef tallow to buy it in a jar from us rather than make it themselves.
The base rate of packaged food startups failing within the first year is 90%.[1] If I had to bet based on taste alone, I would expect a honeyed tallow startup to have a better shot than average, but my guess is that marketing would have to be heroic.
Turns out that bears are a lot harder to farm and they likely cannot be domesticated at all, I think that explains away any mystery about this specific snack
It really does seem harder to mass produce! I don’t think it’s an easy to factory farm bears as cows, considering that you have to feed them meat, so you’ll at best get an ordinary/mild commercial success? So the upside to me seems like something within the realm of what is occasionally not already exploited.
An interesting comparison would be to see if other substitute animal fats taste as good?
Also I think rationalists might be selected for having weirder tastes?
It’s not really a fair question because we all have different things to do with our lives than launch snack lines or restaurant carts, but still: If people have discovered such an amazing delicious novel taste, both new and better than ice cream for 1⁄3 of those who try it, where are the people betting that it would be an amazing commercial success if only somebody produced more of it and advertised it more broadly?
Bears are wild animals. I think it would take way too much effort to get a large enough consistent supply of autumn bear fat even for a food truck, especially given that people probably wouldn’t pay for one cracker’s worth at a time.
Fine then, let’s use beef tallow. We could sell jars of beef tallow mixed with honey and salt as some kind of paleo peanut butter alternative and branch out from there. I think plenty of people would enjoy it, though I think it would be hard to convince the kind of people who love beef tallow to buy it in a jar from us rather than make it themselves.
The base rate of packaged food startups failing within the first year is 90%.[1] If I had to bet based on taste alone, I would expect a honeyed tallow startup to have a better shot than average, but my guess is that marketing would have to be heroic.
https://www.ksre.k-state.edu/kvafl/resources/development.html
mmm beef tallow is pretty in these days? I also think there’s got to be some mileage from optimization to find the bliss point.
Turns out that bears are a lot harder to farm and they likely cannot be domesticated at all, I think that explains away any mystery about this specific snack
It really does seem harder to mass produce! I don’t think it’s an easy to factory farm bears as cows, considering that you have to feed them meat, so you’ll at best get an ordinary/mild commercial success? So the upside to me seems like something within the realm of what is occasionally not already exploited.
An interesting comparison would be to see if other substitute animal fats taste as good?
Also I think rationalists might be selected for having weirder tastes?