This doesn’t contradict common sense if you remember that Claude Opus 4.5 has a 50%-time horizon of around 4 hours 49 minutes (95% confidence interval: 1 hour 49 minutes to 20 hours 25 minutes).
Just think about it: from 1 hour 49 minutes up to 20 hours 25 minutes.
There simply isn’t enough data for reliable conclusions.
This doesn’t contradict common sense if you remember that Claude Opus 4.5 has a 50%-time horizon of around 4 hours 49 minutes (95% confidence interval: 1 hour 49 minutes to 20 hours 25 minutes).
Just think about it: from 1 hour 49 minutes up to 20 hours 25 minutes.
There simply isn’t enough data for reliable conclusions.