Even if half of what’s posted here is at present beyond me or if I am not currently interested in a specific topic, I can learn a lot from this forum.
WhyAsk
“A “pink flamingo” is a term recently coined by Frank Hoffman to describe predictable but ignored events that can yield disastrous results. Hoffman argues that these situations are fully visible, but almost entirely ignored by policymakers. ”
Why are they ignoring this?
I don’t seem to be able to reply to a Gunnar Zarncke reply to my comment on another thread because of my low comment score.
How can I explain my comment and myself [to the extent that I can] to this resident of Germany?
BTW, my view of the world seems to be different than most of you.
Possibly it’s because the mortality tables say that half the men born on the same day as me will dead in 14 years and so my priorities may be different. Also, most of my life has been lived so I’m not so much worried about the uncertainties that most of you seem to be. In fact, what else can they [they, in a general sense] do to me? :)The books [don’t ask which, I don’t remember them all] tell me that I should come to terms with the life I have lived. This is not easy. I have failed to bring down almost all bad guys and failed to protect good guys.
I do thank this site for making me aware of things I’ve never heard of but I don’t know that I can teach anyone here anything.
Thanks for reading.
Thanks for the Hering link.
I, too, got into a dispute with the USAF but did considerably better and there was a lot less at stake. True to form for whistleblowers, a Lt. Col. who tried to help me on a related issue got sent to Taiwan. The punishment is worse for higher-ups because they should have known better by then.
Decades later, in my response to questioning how to sue a government agency for negligence, a lawyer told me “No one can sue the King.” Questioning a King’s sanity, or competence, may be worse than suing.
And I’m wondering if there are engineering whistleblowers on this site that I can chat with.
Spongy means air in the lines which means the lines need to be “bled.” A hard pedal with decreased effectiveness sounds like your brake power-assist is failing. With the engine off you should feel this effect after pumping the pedal two or three times. A hard spongy pedal seems contradictory.
Very few states give pedal force in lbs vs. pedal deflection standards, which I find rather unscientific. IMHO, the middle 1⁄3 of pedal travel should go from no braking to max braking, for a 100 lb. driver.
With a clutch, the middle 1⁄3 should go from no engagement to full engagement.You’re welcome! :)
Thanks for your answer.
So we are back to the Black Swan event.
A reasonable person might say that a group being ridiculed deserved that ridicule for a number of reasons, or that the ridiculer is off base. So, two “no answers”, two different reasons.
Most people or groups don’t “know themselves” so outside information about yourself or the entity that you belong to is almost always valuable.
Is there a button somewhere on this site that allows me to ignore certain posters?
TIA.
My Karma score vs. time and vs. my participation seems to be volatile. Is this unusual?
I had a word and then lost it.
It meant willfully ignorant, or ignorant & proud of it. This was applied to a former U.S. president.
Can anyone supply this word?
TIA
For me, avoiding biases means a cognitive load which means I have to be vigilant which means I can’t relax. Perhaps when and if avoiding all/most of the foibles becomes second nature then it will be less of a load. I hope! :)
My conscience is as hypertrophied as the next person, but how is a balance struck between avoiding cognitive biases, logical fallacies, etc., and enjoying life?
I have a feeling that I won’t be on this forum much longer because of my difficulties with navigating this site and because of the “high burden of proof”. It kind of reminds me of the government agency I tried to blow the whistle on; I had to have documentation for almost everything I said or wrote.
In that case, the problem wasn’t that they didn’t believe me. The problem was they did. They knew I was on to them.But I do thank you for your videos, especially the ones on evolution. Now I should find a way to summarize the payoff matrices in a text document, if I can, and practice.
Thanks for your answer.
How do I find that −20 comment? Outliers can be ignored but at the risk of not learning something new.
”. . .my sexual urges. . .” You’re scaring me.
I’m not a doctor, but DSM II through V may give you a prognosis, and society’s views on your problem as those views evolved over these several editions.
Evidently your symptoms are ego-dystonic, which speaks well for change.
Avoid slippery slopes. With drugs, look for irreversible side effects (that may not show up for years).
Good luck.
Thanks for all answers.
I still have notes from Durant’s “The Lessons of History” so I should comb through these replies using this source, looking for contradictions.
This thread is perhaps an outlier as to the Level of Nesting.
These people are being paid to make these kinds of difficult decisions for the good of “their people” and not just to avoid demotion. Anyone can make easy decisions. And they don’t have to be right, they just have to meet The Reasonable Person standard.
But, there was a Dilbert cartoon that said you shouldn’t even be in the same room when a decision is made.
I guess a world court would charge these ‘leaders’ with Dereliction of Duty, fraud, incompetence, negligence, etc..
Not that a solution would ever be implemented or that politicians would ever evolve into better people, but how would a Game Theorist approach this nasty problem? This could be added to Dr. Miller’s videos.
As far as dropping bombs on your own guys, see Carpenter’s Crispy Critters.
LW should make this unique thread widely known. Many couples facing similar decisions can be helped.
I am sorry for your loss.
EDIT: This association to your post won’t leave me alone, so here it is: APACHE II software gives the odds of an adult leaving an ICU alive. Perhaps there is, or will soon be, an intrauterine version of this using blood values & other metrics that can prompt preventive measures early in a pregnancy.