Laszlo_Treszkai

Karma: 54

Laszlo_Treszkai 13 Mar 2022 0:53 UTC
19 points
on: Ukraine Post #2: Options
The linked website for military assistance (war.ukraine.ua) is dubious. Donations in fiat currencies are better done at the addresses listed on the official website: https://bank.gov.ua/en/about/support-the-armed-forces

Couple telltale signs:
- ukraine.ua redirects to war.ukraine.ua, which is weird in itself, but especially given in January there was some original content at ukraine.ua
- email listed in the footer is ukraine.ua.mfa@gmail.com, despite the mfa.gov.ua accepting emails at zsmfa@mfa.gov.ua
- their https://war.ukraine.ua/support-ukraine/ page lists yet another Gmail address (mfa.ukraine@gmail.com)
- the Feb 28 archived version showed ukraine@mfa.gov.ua email
- one IBAN does check out (although bank.gov.ua lists this as UAH only and lists seven others for different currencies), but the others aren’t mentioned on the bank.gov.ua website
- the Monobank payment (https://uahelp.monobank.ua/) uses a British bank “Clear Junction Limited” for the euro transfers instead of Deutsche Bundesbank or a Ukrainian bank.
- (This address is listed on the Twitter feed of the verified @Ukraine, so it might be legit, or it might have been legit at one point: https://twitter.com/Ukraine/status/1500899395906191361)
- This @Ukraine user posts mostly memes and low-effort posts lately. On Feb 26 they listed a different bitcoin address but now I can’t find the post.

Laszlo_Treszkai 24 Jun 2018 11:01 UTC
15 points
on: Counterfactual Mugging Poker Game
The game is indeed a clean example of Glomarization.

I might have misunderstood your main point, which I interpret as: “because of the counterfactual that I could have gotten a high card in this game, I shouldn’t reveal a low card with probability 1.” Are you sure that it’s because of the counterfactual in the current game, and not the possible consequences in my later interactions with B?

I would reveal my card if the game was truly unique, in that zero information leaks out. (Suppose B’s memories of this game are erased afterwards.)

In real life, my decision would affect Player B’s image of me, which affects how he will reason about similar games against me in the future. (And even how people close to him will reason about people like me.)

A multi-agent influence diagram on the iterated version shows how one can screw himself over in later games. If A first hides, then B cannot update her model of A:

If A first reveals a low card, then a pattern that’s almost-but-not-quite-like Newcomb’s is revealed:

Laszlo_Treszkai 22 Sep 2019 11:11 UTC
11 points
on: SSC Meetups Everywhere: Vienna, Austria
Directions to the meetup room:

Laszlo_Treszkai 17 Nov 2023 15:03 UTC
4 points
3
on: On Tapping Out
Interesting to contrast with Leave a Line of Retreat:

leave yourself a line of retreat, so that you will have less trouble retreating

There, you leave a line of retreat for yourself; here, for your conversation partner.

Laszlo_Treszkai 3 Nov 2022 13:21 UTC
2 points
0
on: Conversations on Alcohol Consumption
After my fair share of drinks during university, I rarely drink in the last 7 years – approx. since I joined the Rationalist communities –, even when others in my group are drinking hard.

Bit of a counterpoint to the post. Usually, I can trust a person more once we’ve gone drinking together; but interestingly, I can Rationalists relatively quickly without any drinks. (As a person, not necessarily as a friend.) Maybe this is because of the much stronger internal consistency of the community members, and that their statements can very often be taken at face value? There are still people in the community whom my intuition does not fully trust (not for tangible reasons), and I believe our relationship would benefit from drinking enough that both of us feel the lack of self-inhibition in the other person, effectively acting as a Veritaserum. (I don’t insist on alcohol; open to suggestions for other drugs.) Unfortunately, I haven’t had more than a couple beers with any LW community member, that would probably be an interesting experience.

However, some of the best gatherings I’ve had were with sober people (almost always in the LW community), and these were great partly because everyone was sober. If for nothing else, I applaud your experiment and the mindset you and your friends described.

Laszlo_Treszkai 18 Oct 2021 14:34 UTC
2 points
in reply to: Kenny ’s comment on: My experience at and around MIRI and CFAR (inspired by Zoe Curzi’s writeup of experiences at Leverage)

Meditation is quite different as in it’s more of a state of mind as opposed to an altered mentality. With psychedelics there is a clear distinction between when you are tripping and when you aren’t tripping.

However, according to some, even meditation done properly can have negative effects, which would be similar to psychedelics but manifesting slower and through your own effort. Quoted from the book review:

Once you have meditated enough to reach the A&P Event, you’re stuck in the (very unpleasant) Dark Night Of The Soul until you can meditate your way out of it, which could take months or years.

Laszlo_Treszkai 17 Jun 2023 10:03 UTC
1 point
0
in reply to: Thomas Sepulchre’s comment on: I bet everyone 1000€ that I can make them dramatically happier & cure their depression in 3 months!
if someone is stressed or sleep-deprived because of work, then surely taking vacations will have positive effects.
If someone’s mental health problems are caused only by insufficient free time/energy/sleep, then yes. I’d wager the majority of depression cases are caused by work-independent internal factors, and either would resolve on their own (even while working) or would not resolve even when taking three months off.

Laszlo_Treszkai 26 Mar 2022 22:37 UTC
1 point
on: How I fixed exercise
Great post, I especially liked the “triggers to pick up the habit again” section.

Laszlo_Treszkai 19 Oct 2021 16:41 UTC
1 point
in reply to: Pattern’s comment on: Bayeswatch 12: The Singularity War
A regular female name, short for Vivien. For a real example, see Vi Hart: https://www.youtube.com/user/Vihart

Laszlo_Treszkai 4 Oct 2021 16:01 UTC
1 point
on: Vienna, Austria – ACX Meetups Everywhere 2021
Thanks to everyone who came!

Scott’s meetup organizer @mingyuan asked participants to fill out this survey: https://forms.gle/Nqx7ShVcfS4tyfQP7

Thanks to @mingyuan for the assistance and the financial support. Self-ordered take-out food was reimbursed up to 10 EUR / person.

Laszlo_Treszkai 2 Oct 2021 11:16 UTC
1 point
on: Vienna, Austria – ACX Meetups Everywhere 2021
We are at https://what3words.com/tulip.graceful.agreeing

Northeast from Johann Strauss, under the trees. NOT the other big group closer to the statue.

Laszlo_Treszkai 29 Sep 2021 19:03 UTC
1 point
on: Vienna, Austria – ACX Meetups Everywhere 2021
Hello everyone! I’m the new organizer.

As Scott said, please feel free to come even if you feel awkward about it, even if you’re not “the typical ACX reader”, if you haven’t read a post in a while, even if you’re worried people won’t like you, etc, etc, etc.

COVID requirements: You are required to be verifiably vaccinated or recovered or PCR-tested after 30 September 5pm. I will check this and then you can lose LW karma. Officials could check this, and then I will lose real-life karma. (Antigen tests are not sufficient as per the new regulations.)

This will be a stationary meetup in Stadtpark on the grass, so bring a blanket to sit on if you can.

Food:
- Refreshments will be provided.
- If you’re a baking or cooking master, your goodies will be much appreciated.
- We’ll order take-outs around 2pm.
You can register for future meetups at this sign-up sheet. Or you can join other ACX readers in Vienna on Discord here: https://discord.gg/2q8EANfW

If you are strongly against appearing on my photos, please say that to me upon arrival.

Laszlo_Treszkai 10 Aug 2021 7:47 UTC
1 point
on: Rationality Vienna Meetup 2021 August
I was told that Jacob Falkovich is very likely joining 🙂

Laszlo_Treszkai 30 Jun 2021 21:56 UTC
1 point
in reply to: lsusr’s comment on: Tracey Davis and the Prisoner of Azkaban—Part 6
One more typo: ” You’ve changed, though Harry. ”

Laszlo_Treszkai 12 Jun 2021 18:05 UTC
1 point
on: Bayeswatch 3: A Study in Scarlet
Typo:

It’s heat shield burned away.

It’s » Its

Laszlo_Treszkai 19 Apr 2019 16:03 UTC
1 point
on: Rationality Vienna Meetup April 2019
Talk topic has been settled: Kevin Simler & Robin Hanson’s book, The Elephant in the Brain: Hidden Motives in Everyday Life http://elephantinthebrain.com

Laszlo_Treszkai 18 Apr 2019 8:11 UTC
1 point
on: Rationality Vienna Meetup April 2019
Instructions on how to find the meetup room:

https://my.pcloud.com/publink/show?code=XZGJrE7Z8p72zalBbmH4xELOhiViwHpLNhpy

Laszlo_Treszkai 17 Jul 2018 7:02 UTC
1 point
AF
in reply to: Dagon’s comment on: Buridan’s ass in coordination games
True, they will fail to cooperate for some R, but the values of such R have a low probability. (But yeah, it’s also required that uy and R are chosen independently—otherwise an adversary could just choose either so that it results in the players choosing different actions.)

The smoothness comes in from marginalising a random R. The coordination comes from making R and ε common knowledge, so they cooperate using the correlation in their observations—an interesting phenomenon.

(How can I write LaTeX in the comments?)

Laszlo_Treszkai 1 Oct 2021 18:02 UTC
−1 points
on: Vienna, Austria – ACX Meetups Everywhere 2021
Looking for help to bring edible stuff to Stadtpark.

Requirements: ability to carry ~15 kg for 900 meters (backpack provided), optionally stopping at every corner.

EDIT: thanks to Axel and Attila, now the problem is solved! We won’t die of thirst.